Hurricane Dean

Forecast Advisory 32

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638
WTNT24 KNHC 210243
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0300 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING WESTWARD FROM CIUDAD DE CARMEN TO CHILITEPEC. A
HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF
BELIZE...ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESSO
SOUTHWARD TO CHILITEPEC. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY
BEEN COMPLETED. PREPARATIONS ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC WESTWARD TO
VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM
VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
PROVINCES OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 86.0W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 914 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 86.0W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 85.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.7N 88.6W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.2N 92.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.6N 95.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.6N 99.1W...INLAND MAINLAND MEXICO
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 86.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

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FORECASTER KNABB/ROBERTS