Hurricane Dean

Forecast Advisory 33

---

965
WTNT24 KNHC 210857
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0900 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING
FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC TO VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF BELIZE
AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO
SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
PROVINCES OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 87.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 906 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 87.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.1N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.6N 93.9W...OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.1N 96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.5N 100.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN