Tropical Storm Erin

Forecast Advisory 2

---

576
WTNT25 KNHC 150831
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2007

AT 10PM CDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE TEXAS COAST FROM FREEPORT SOUTHWARD...AND THE GOVERNMENT
OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST
OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 91.8W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 91.8W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 91.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.3N 93.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.4N 95.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.3N 97.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 28.0N 98.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 91.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME





578
WTNT24 KNHC 150831
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2007

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DEAN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 44.2W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 44.2W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 43.4W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.4N 46.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.8N 50.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.2N 53.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.8N 57.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.5N 74.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 44.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN