Tropical Storm Erin

Forecast Advisory 4

---

894
WTNT25 KNHC 151531
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
1530 UTC WED AUG 15 2007

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM FREEPORT SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 93.5W AT 15/1530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 93.5W AT 15/1530Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 93.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.5N 97.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.0N 99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 28.5N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 93.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA