Hurricane Felix

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 020846
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0900 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 68.7W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 40SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 68.7W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 67.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.2N 71.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.9N 75.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.6N 78.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.3N 81.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 68.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

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FORECASTER KNABB