Hurricane Felix

Forecast Advisory 15

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 040249
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA
BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 81.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 81.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 80.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.6N 83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.1N 85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.7N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.4N 90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.0N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 81.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN