Hurricane Felix

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 040855
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0900 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 82.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 939 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 82.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 81.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.3N 84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 86.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.9N 88.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.4N 90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.5N 94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 82.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB