Tropical Depression Fifteen

Forecast Advisory 2



177
WTNT25 KNHC 120231
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152007
0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 49.7W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 49.7W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 49.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N 48.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.1N 48.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.4N 48.2W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.0N 48.2W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 49.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN