Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT24 KNHC 080230
TCMAT4
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO
OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 72.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 72.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 71.7W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.1N 73.7W...SUBTROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.3N 75.5W...SUBTROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 76.8W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.0N 76.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 37.5N 73.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 40.5N 67.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 43.0N 58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS




000
WTNT22 KNHC 080234
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007

...CORRECTED AWIPS/WMO HEADERS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO
OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 72.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 72.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 71.7W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.1N 73.7W...SUBTROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.3N 75.5W...SUBTROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.5N 76.8W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.0N 76.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 37.5N 73.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 40.5N 67.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 43.0N 58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N 72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS