Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 081441
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM
SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBERMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST AND TO NEW
POINT COMFORT ALONG CHESAPEAKE BAY.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM SOUTH OF SURF CITY SOUTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 74.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 74.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 73.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 32.4N 75.3W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 33.8N 76.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.2N 75.6W...NEAR NC OUTER BANKS
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 36.4N 74.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 44.0N 58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 46.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 74.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

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FORECASTER KNABB