Tropical Storm Ingrid

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 151430
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 53.7W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 53.7W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 53.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 25.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 26.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 53.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

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FORECASTER AVILA