Tropical Storm Ingrid

Forecast Advisory 15



000
WTNT23 KNHC 160229
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 55.7W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 55.7W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.4N 57.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.2N 58.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 59.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.8N 60.8W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 63.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 55.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE