Tropical Storm Jerry

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT21 KNHC 230842
TCMAT1
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
0900 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 46.1W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 46.1W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 46.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 36.7N 46.1W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.7N 45.3W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 42.5N 42.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 46.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB