Tropical Storm Jerry

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT21 KNHC 232030
TCMAT1
SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 46.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 180SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 46.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.5N 45.1W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 41.7N 42.3W...TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 47.0N 38.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 46.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH