Tropical Storm Jerry

Forecast Advisory 6

---

000
WTNT21 KNHC 241459
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007
1500 UTC MON SEP 24 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 44.5W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 44.5W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 45.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 42.7N 41.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 44.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH