Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 2

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462
WTNT23 KNHC 282021
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 99.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 99.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 98.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





256
WTNT24 KNHC 282022
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 27.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 27.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 26.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.4N 27.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.0N 29.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.5N 30.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.5N 32.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 34.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N 35.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 22.5N 36.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





534
WTNT22 KNHC 282031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 49.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 49.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 49.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.1N 50.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N 52.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.2N 53.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.3N 55.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 49.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA