Tropical Storm Melissa

Forecast Advisory 9

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746
WTNT24 KNHC 301439
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
1500 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 32.6W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 32.6W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 32.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.7N 34.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.7N 36.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.8N 38.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.2N 40.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.5N 43.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 32.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN