Tropical Storm Arthur

Forecast Advisory 2

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340
WTNT21 KNHC 312039
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008
2100 UTC SAT MAY 31 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE COAST OF YUCATAN FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 88.9W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 88.9W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 88.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.7N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N 91.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.0N 93.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.0N 94.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.5N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 88.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

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FORECASTER AVILA/RHOME