Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 1

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735
WTNT22 KNHC 030858
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0900 UTC THU JUL 03 2008

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 22.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 22.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 22.2W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.0N 24.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.8N 27.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N 30.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.8N 33.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 22.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE