Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 7

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471
WTNT22 KNHC 042031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
2100 UTC FRI JUL 04 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 31.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 31.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 30.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.2N 34.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.8N 37.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.4N 41.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.9N 45.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.2N 51.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 31.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN