Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 22

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471
WTNT22 KNHC 081440
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1500 UTC TUE JUL 08 2008


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 53.8W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 53.8W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 53.5W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.1N 54.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.3N 56.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 57.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.6N 58.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 32.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 53.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

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FORECASTER RHOME