Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 25

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216
WTNT22 KNHC 090830
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0900 UTC WED JUL 09 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 56.5W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 56.5W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 56.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N 57.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 59.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.8N 60.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N 61.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 33.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 56.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

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FORECASTER PASCH