Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 34

---

000
WTNT22 KNHC 111435
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1500 UTC FRI JUL 11 2008

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 62.0W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 62.0W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 61.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.2N 62.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.2N 62.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N 62.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 61.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 37.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 62.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA