Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 41

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 130831
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0900 UTC SUN JUL 13 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 62.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 62.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 62.5W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 30.1N 62.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 30.8N 63.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.0N 63.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.4N 63.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 35.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 62.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

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FORECASTER BEVEN