Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 44

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 140245
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0300 UTC MON JUL 14 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 63.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 63.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 63.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.0N 63.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.6N 63.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.8N 62.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 34.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 35.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 63.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB