Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 46

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 141458
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1500 UTC MON JUL 14 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 63.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 90SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 63.8W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 63.8W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.2N 63.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.8N 63.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.9N 62.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 35.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 38.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 63.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN