Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 64

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 190235
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 64
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0300 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 48.8W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE 110SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 48.8W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.6N 49.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 42.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 110SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 45.4N 42.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 35SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 50.2N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 55.4N 32.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 63.5N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 275SE 150SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 48.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





000
WTNT23 KNHC 190253
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
0300 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...AND FROM NORTH
OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 79.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 79.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 79.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 32.4N 79.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.4N 78.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.4N 76.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 38.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 79.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN