Hurricane Bertha

Forecast Advisory 69



000
WTNT23 KNHC 200853
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
0900 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LITTLE
RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 77.2W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 77.2W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 77.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.7N 76.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 35.8N 74.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 40.2N 69.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 47.0N 61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 77.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT22 KNHC 200854
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 69
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0900 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N 38.9W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 100SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 100SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N 38.9W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.6N 40.0W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 52.5N 34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 63.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 67.0N 15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 150SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.5N 38.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH