Tropical Storm Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT23 KNHC 190336
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
0300 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

CORRECTED FOR WATCH/WARNING INFORMATION

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 79.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 79.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 79.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 32.4N 79.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.4N 78.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.4N 76.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 38.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 79.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN