Tropical Storm Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 190829
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 65
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
0900 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 47.4W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE 110SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 47.4W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 48.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 43.8N 44.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 35SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 48.0N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 35SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 53.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 47.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT23 KNHC 190831
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
0900 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.4W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.4W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 79.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N 78.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 77.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 79.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA