Tropical Storm Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT22 KNHC 191443
TCMAT2
HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 66
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1500 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.1N 45.4W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.1N 45.4W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.1N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 45.9N 42.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 100SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 50.5N 37.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 100SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 55.7N 31.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 60.8N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 125SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.1N 45.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




000
WTNT23 KNHC 191446
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
1500 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.5W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.5W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 78.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.3N 77.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.2N 76.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.1N 75.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 40.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 78.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB