Tropical Storm Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT23 KNHC 201459
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
1500 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LITTLE
RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF SURF CITY TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 76.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 76.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 76.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.2N 75.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.7N 73.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 38.9N 70.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 42.5N 65.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 76.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BLAKE