Tropical Storm Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 13



000
WTNT23 KNHC 220251
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 69.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 69.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 70.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.8N 67.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 44.0N 57.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 44.0N 52.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 41.0N 44.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 37.5N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N 69.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME




000
WTNT24 KNHC 220254
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 10 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN
MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES.

AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN
FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 92.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 120SE 30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 92.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 92.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 94.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 95.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.6N 96.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.2N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 101.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 92.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN