Hurricane Dolly

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 202042
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
2100 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF
SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO THE
NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 75.8W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 75.8W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 76.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 35.9N 74.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.9N 71.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 40.8N 68.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 44.0N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 75.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB





000
WTNT24 KNHC 202049
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
2100 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 85.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 175SE 100SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 85.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 84.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.1N 86.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 89.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.9N 92.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.8N 94.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.0N 96.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N 99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 27.0N 101.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 85.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB