Hurricane Dolly

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 210236
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
0300 UTC MON JUL 21 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 75.0W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 75.0W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 75.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.5N 73.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 38.9N 70.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 41.9N 66.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 44.7N 61.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 46.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 75.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 210251
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
0300 UTC MON JUL 21 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 85.8W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 85.8W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 85.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 90.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 92.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.3N 94.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.5N 97.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 85.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN