Hurricane Dolly

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT23 KNHC 212046
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 71.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 110SE 60SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 71.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 72.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 38.9N 68.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 110SE 90SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 41.7N 64.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 44.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 45.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 42.5N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N 71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT24 KNHC 212047
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2008

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO
NORTHWARD...ACROSS THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED
STATES...AND ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO PORT O'CONNOR. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA
PESCA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO...AND FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREAS
LATER TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 91.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 91.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 90.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.0N 93.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.9N 94.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.8N 96.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.4N 97.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.0N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 91.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB