Hurricane Dolly
Forecast Advisory 9
000
WTNT23 KNHC 221438
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
1500 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 65.9W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 65.9W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 67.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.9N 62.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 44.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 44.0N 51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.5N 46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 39.0N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.9N 65.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
WTNT24 KNHC 221441
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1500 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF
TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEAST
COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER
BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 94.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 94.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 94.0W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 95.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.7N 97.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.0N 102.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 94.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
