Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 6

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411
WTNT21 KNHC 170245
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 76.3W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 76.3W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 75.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N 78.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 25SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N 82.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N 82.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 31.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 34.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 76.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA