Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 13

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238
WTNT21 KNHC 182034
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON
SPRINGS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD
SOUND BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 81.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 81.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 81.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.8N 82.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.4N 81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.8N 81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 31.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 33.0N 84.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 81.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

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FORECASTER BEVEN