Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 19

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601
WTNT21 KNHC 200855
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
0900 UTC WED AUG 20 2008

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 80.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 80.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 80.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 28.8N 80.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.3N 80.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.6N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.4N 84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N 80.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN