Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 20



882
WTNT21 KNHC 201443
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2008

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FORT PIERCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 80.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 80.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 80.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N 80.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.4N 81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.8N 82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.0N 83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.5N 84.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N 86.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 32.0N 88.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 80.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA