Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 28



906
WTNT21 KNHC 221439
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO
DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 82.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 82.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 82.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.7N 83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N 85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.3N 86.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 60SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.6N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 31.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 32.5N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N 82.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA