Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 30

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366
WTNT21 KNHC 230247
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
0300 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 84.2W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 84.2W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 83.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.8N 85.3W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.1N 86.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N 88.5W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N 91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N 90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 84.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB