Tropical Storm Fay

Forecast Advisory 31

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138
WTNT21 KNHC 230834
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
0900 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 84.9W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 84.9W AT 23/0900Z...INLAND
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 84.7W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.0N 86.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.3N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N 89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.5N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 32.1N 90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 33.5N 89.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 84.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN