Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 8



052
WTNT22 KNHC 270249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
0300 UTC WED AUG 27 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST
NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA
AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 73.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 15SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 73.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 73.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.9N 74.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 75.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.2N 77.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.4N 78.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 85NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.5N 82.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 95NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 23.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N 89.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 73.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN