Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 10

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585
WTNT22 KNHC 271429
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH
COAST OF HAITI EAST OF LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS IS DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 74.0W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 74.0W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 73.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 74.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.2N 76.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 77.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 79.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 83.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 24.5N 86.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 74.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH