Hurricane Gustav

Forecast Advisory 17



193
WTNT22 KNHC 290231
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008

HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA...FOR THE
PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 77.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 77.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 77.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.3N 78.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.1N 80.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 85NE 65SE 65SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.4N 82.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.9N 84.2W...NEAR COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 28.5N 90.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 77.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




464
WTNT23 KNHC 290239
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 60.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 10SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 60.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N 62.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.2N 64.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.6N 66.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.7N 68.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.6N 70.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 55SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 26.5N 71.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 26.0N 71.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 60.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN