Hurricane Hanna

Forecast Advisory 15



991
WTNT23 KNHC 312037
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
2100 UTC SUN AUG 31 2008

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 71.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 210SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 71.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 71.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N 72.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.3N 73.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.3N 73.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 23.5N 74.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.5N 75.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 27.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 31.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME




970
WTNT22 KNHC 312039
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
2100 UTC SUN AUG 31 2008

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD
ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH
ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY
OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 87.3W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT.......190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 250SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 87.3W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 86.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.9N 88.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.4N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.7N 92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.5N 93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 32.0N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 32.0N 96.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 87.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN