Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 032345
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
0000 UTC THU SEP 04 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 53.2W AT 04/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 75SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 53.2W AT 04/0000Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 51.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.6N 55.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N 57.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.3N 60.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.8N 63.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.5N 76.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 53.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

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FORECASTER BROWN