Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 17



000
WTNT25 KNHC 050840
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
0900 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 34.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 34.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 34.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.1N 35.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.8N 36.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.8N 38.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N 40.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 44.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 23.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 34.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB




000
WTNT24 KNHC 050854
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
0900 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.0W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.0W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 60.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.7N 63.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.3N 65.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.8N 68.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N 70.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 24.0N 78.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 26.0N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 61.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




000
WTNT23 KNHC 050859
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0900 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD FROM SAVANNAH RIVER TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...AND NORTHWARD IN THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY TO SMITH POINT. A TROPICAL WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...AND NORTHWARD INTO CHESAPEAKE BAY TO SMITH POINT.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO SANDY HOOK
JERSEY...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF SMITH POINT...THE
TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 78.0W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 20SW 90NW.
34 KT.......275NE 225SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 78.0W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 77.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.0N 78.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 20SW 90NW.
34 KT...275NE 225SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.2N 79.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT...275NE 225SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.7N 77.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.6N 72.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 48.0N 58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 50.5N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 51.5N 23.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 78.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME